Ohio and NC or Virginia. I didn't think he would win Virginia, but it's looking like he has a good chance. This scenario wouldn't end the race, just make for a long night. He doesn't need PA. If he wins PA, he'll almost certainly win the election though.
Good lord. Perhaps a coincidence in location (I hope) but if it isn't....WHAT the fuck is happening down there? This is awful.
Holy shit! New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/fo...region=span-abc-region&WT.nav=span-abc-region (It's gone up to Trump 59%, Clinton 41% since my screen shot.)
How did the polling get this so wrong? It seems like the numbers lately put them both within the margin of error. But they kept her at about a 5-6 point lead. He's winning in so many places right now.
I don't know the how, but can you call it a huge shock given everything else that's happened regarding Trump this election cycle? He's defied every "common sense" projection from the beginning.
Many of the poll samples were Dem heavy which seems to be working against them now, Trump voters came out in force.
Aren't the early reports always typically skewed to the Republicans? I thought the big Democrat states don't report until later.
More that urban areas take longer to tally all their votes, and urban areas pretty much all skew Democratic.
Polling in general has been getting less and less accurate due to fewer and fewer people making themselves available, and those that do are not representative of society at large. And Nate came right out and said, "we're guessing here...". The models they are using are based on previous scenarios and the "rules" that are observed from them, and those rules are so far removed from what's going on now that they have no idea if they'll apply.... it's a totally different game, with different rules. Apparently it seems that their models aren't as close as they were hoping.
Yes, but I don't care about the west coast states. The eastern side states like Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia are the ground work for later on. The west coast seems to be far more predictable. But I don't know anything anymore. Michigan is leaning Trump right now. As is Wisconsin. Florida still has some more votes to count. But there is a good margin to make up.
They've either been hacked, or they are going the way of Fox News. No one can be that certain with Clinton or Trump right now. It's simply too close. Still looking like clinton, but it won't be the landslide everyone thought. Lot of your hillbillies in rural counties came out to play.