To be fair, you live in Texas which has worked hard to disenfranchise every Democratic-leaning demographic. I'm sure Bernie lost a lot of college votes there, but Biden probably lost just as many, if not more, black votes. Wait until the general, when the ratfuckery will become really evident.
Bernie wins in the under 30 column by a pretty large margin, but the delegate count wouldn't be almost even if that was his whole base. There are defensible reasons to vote for at least some socialist programs that have nothing to do with being lazy.
The two machines not in use were probably for republican primary voters, who obviously have way less this cycle. Dems have been struggling to get enough voting machines so they asked to borrow some from the republicans who of course told them to fuck off. Be glad Texas doesn't still do caucuses. That's a whole other clusterfuck.
Warren is out. She managed to snag a few delegates, but I really doubt the bridges she burned with voters left of the party center was worth it. She had a strong start, but has been steadily imploding since months before the first votes were cast. This should tighten the race in the upcoming states even if she outright endorses Biden, which is a big if, but who knows? Odds of a contested convention aren't very high anymore.
They’re already self immolating at the mere idea of Warren to Biden people. Shit like, “if you go from Warren to Biden, you never actually have a shit about women.” Very bizarre tactics to make people think you are a reasonable human being.
Deeply fascinating. Discussing morons is inherent to politics, but just so you guys know, there are other news sources than retards on twitter. Anyway, anyone as a Bernie supporter who is really scared about Warren endorsing Biden is misguided. Even if that happens her dropping out certainly helps him more than it does Biden. What she had left was a pretty different group than Klobuchar. That said, he's still an underdog at the moment.
Not much, and less than the impact of her just dropping out in the first place, but she was still over 10% in a lot of areas and the race between Sanders/Biden isn't that far apart. It's not a momentum swing, but it is significant. Nearly all of those voters will be going to one, or the other. I don't think we can realistically assume Gabbard will be swooping in for a big steal.
I think Bernie’s support has a ceiling. And his appeal is mostly to really young voters and the woke crowd which is essentially a completely overlapping Venn diagram. Since they voted 13% on Super Tuesday and with the most liberal state behind him, I think Bernie’s in for a rough ride. They might be the loudest, but they still don’t go out to vote. And the odds of them suddenly inspiring a whole bunch of people to suddenly care about politics is slim. I mean, I could be completely off. Bernie needs Warrens endorsement, but Biden would like it.
He does, but I think it's higher than you're suggesting. M4A polls over 50%. Free college and a $15 min wage poll a little over or under depending on where you look. He wouldn't beat a strong republican incumbent like Reagan, but against Trump he would have a pretty good shot. Also, the depth of his support is a lot stronger than you're saying. Even networks that hate him have been acknowledging that for months. His support among latinos, women voters, and gen xers is pretty strong.
I think at the end of the day, most people will forget about the divisive shit show primary, and eventually rally around the nominee. The only thing that can fuck that up is the DNC. If Biden does win, it has to be done organically and not through superdelegate fuckery. Bernie did take California by a sizable amount. But he’s not getting Florida and Michigan could be a battle.
You also have to account for the "anyone liked by California is hated by me" crowd. Sorry, I mean "commiefornia." As I've heard they're called.
They’re moving to Texas in droves. They see that we have no state tax and a lower cost of living compared to California. So they go to Austin, which is super expensive but not compared to anywhere in Cali. And then jack the real estate market there to absolute hell. Houston is also going up in price because of how many people are moving here.
It's not just California. People from Florida and the New England area are coming here in droves as well. Same deal, cost of living. Sit on a dollar and out pops a breakfast taco. A good half of the interviews I do, if not more, are people who moved here from out of state. Largely the cities have just been expanding outward to keep up with the population growth, we have the area for it might as well. Non-stop construction on the infrastructure though. Real estate market doesn't impact me too much because I don't plan on moving again. I love that we're more of a melting pot area now. The more different cultures the better imo. Because of all of the people moving here though, and where they're coming from, I see Texas going blue in 2024, if not in 2020. I think if Biden wins the nomination he has a real chance at Texas over trump. Dude pissed off a lot of people with that wall going through their back yards.
Hey 'Nerds, NO ONE IN THE BORDER COUNTIES WANTED THE WALL. The people who wanted it didn't have to actually deal with it. I'm not just talking about in Texas, but the rest of the country as well.
That's what I was getting at. Only people who wanted it were people who'd never been down there. Never seen the logistical problems of actually building through that area. Never seen how the wall would literally break up towns, go through back yards. Eminent domain is nice and fair when it's an abstract concept that doesn't directly affect you, but when they're taking your land (or your money, Sanders), then the tune changes real quick. I just really don't see the support for trump being that strong this time around. I mean nation-wide, not just Texas. The novelty has worn off. He's objectively worse than we all imagined. And while we're at it, can we get mitch mcconnell to fuck off too?
Bernie's strategy in Florida needs to focus on hitting 15%. He has zero chance to win here, but Biden doing a complete delegate sweep would be a disaster (and a likely one at that). I know anecdotal evidence is meaningless in politics, but just to throw it out there; Florida is in such a position for the primaries that I won't even admit to most people I work with that I'll be voting for Sanders. People automatically think you're brain dead. It's considered a given. I'm supporting him more on the issue of corruption than economics, but people think you're so fucked in the head to even consider Sanders it would be a career threatening move. This is at a workplace that hardly ever discusses politics because no one wants to offend each other, but if it ever comes up people openly throw out their opinions because it's just considered that much of a given. A lot of these people are fairly liberal, but it reminds me what a wacko he's viewed as throughout the south. As for the divisiveness I disagree. Yes, they will fall in line and vote Biden. A lot of people say repeatedly that he is Hillary 2.0, but I'm not sure how many really believe that and how often it is just the heat of the primary. The thing is though, there are a lot of democrat voters right now that want to see the establishment party forced out, and that isn't going away. It started with smaller efforts like the Justice Democrats movement, but it's gathering steam, and it's not a problem that is going to be fixed by one election. The only thing containing it right now is that there is a very rigid, inflexible all or nothing camp, and a separate group much closer to the center, so coordination sometimes gets stagnated. Just look at how much attention AOC is getting in national news right now, and how often the establishment is having discussions on how to contain her and deal with her constant attacks. If all she represented was a lone anomaly district they wouldn't be very concerned. If all Sanders represented was a candidate further left than others running you wouldn't see this kind of coordination to shut him down. I fully expect this problem to get much worse over the next four years, regardless of how well the democrats as a whole do in this election. I think the housing market is a big part of that. If you want to live in a city, or even near a city in California you damn near need to be in your 50s, having managed decades of a lucrative career just to have enough savings to get something bigger than a coffin sized home. I don't like how often people equate this to "stupid liberal policies" though. Not everything happens because of what the government did. The insane housing market in California resulted from an uncoordinated series of events, a lot of which has to do with the geography of the area going back to the 1800s, and the fact that it became America's foremost hub for innovators and high margin industries. The government there is trying to mitigate it, but there's some things you can't control.
One would hope so. It’s not like Barr isn’t a lying piece of shit who belongs in prison, it should start with that.